Second Quarter 2026 Market Intelligence Report

San Diego Life Sciences
Lab / Office Market Report

The inflection quarter. Core cluster vacancy posted its first demand-driven decline of the cycle, Class A rents held flat after fifteen quarters of decline, and the exit environment reopened with $3.2B+ in disclosed San Diego M&A.

Core cluster vacancy
26.6%
First demand-driven decline of the cycle
Class A asking rent
$5.75/SF
Flat after 15 quarters of decline
Q2 2026 VC activity
$624.7M
10 rounds · 79% in top three deals
Q2 2026 M&A activity
$3.2B+
Disclosed · nine SD transactions
Prepared by Miles Arnold & Chris Durbin, Co-Leads · Life Sciences Advisory Group
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01Executive Brief

The inflection arrives: vacancy falls on broad demand, concessions still hold.

The window for extraordinary tenant economics is still open — but Q2 is what the turn looks like, and it now has a clock on it.

The tenant opportunity

Three years of oversupply have produced market conditions that favor tenants, and Q2 delivered the first evidence that the window has a clock on it. Core cluster vacancy posted its first demand-driven decline of the cycle, falling to 26.6% on the first quarter of broad-based positive absorption. The only prior dip, in late 2025, was the mechanical effect of a single delivery and reversed within a quarter.

Concessions have not moved yet: landlords are still delivering fully built-out, lab-ready space at or near their all-in cost, and free rent packages on multi-year deals still represent 10 to 20% of total lease value.

The submarket picture sharpened

Torrey Pines is tightening fastest, with vacancy down to 12.2%, and Sorrento Mesa posted its first meaningful absorption of the cycle. Sorrento Valley, the bright spot in Q1, softened. Where you sign matters as much as what you negotiate, and the leverage map is shifting quarter to quarter now.

The structural shift

Q2 confirmed the exit environment is functioning again. Nine disclosed San Diego M&A transactions totaled $3.2B+, led by UCB's acquisition of Candid (up to $2.2B) and Biogen's acquisition of RayThera (up to $1.0B). Days after the quarter closed, Vertex agreed to acquire San Diego's Crinetics Pharmaceuticals for roughly $10 billion in cash — a post-quarter deal larger than all of Q2's disclosed total combined.

Structural advantages remain intact

San Diego directly employed 61,866 life science workers contributing $54.1B in economic output in 2025, with nearly 2,000 companies in the ecosystem. With Novartis' 466,592 SF Campus Point project the only active construction, new supply is effectively capped through 2027 — San Diego will tighten faster than Boston or the Bay Area.

Class A asking rent
$5.75/SF
Flat in Q2 after 15 consecutive quarters of decline
Core cluster vacancy
26.6%
First demand-driven decline of the cycle
Core cluster availability
31.6%
Effectively flat at cycle highs — supply no longer growing
Sublet availability
1.23M SF
1,226,976 SF — up modestly from Q1 2026
What this means for your next lease decision

If you have a lease expiring in the next 18 months, a funding event behind you, or a footprint decision in front of you, this is the market to move in. Q2 was the first quarter of the turn: vacancy is compressing but concessions have not repriced yet. That gap between market conditions and deal terms is where you win — and it narrows from here.

02San Diego Core Cluster

Availability, submarket overview, fundamentals, and rent trends.

Four submarkets, one cluster of 20.5M SF across 338 buildings — and a leverage map that now shifts quarter to quarter.

Aerial map of San Diego core life science cluster: Torrey Pines, Sorrento Valley, Sorrento Mesa, and UTC submarkets
San Diego core cluster — Torrey Pines, Sorrento Valley, Sorrento Mesa, and UTC. Available lab space: direct vs. sublease.
Sorrento Mesa
Direct3,264,836 SF38.4%
Sublease596,600 SF7.0%
Sorrento Valley
Direct533,217 SF29.1%
Sublease172,578 SF9.4%
Torrey Pines
Direct935,332 SF15.1%
Sublease439,368 SF7.1%
UTC
Direct783,002 SF17.5%
Sublease18,430 SF0.4%
Total available
Direct5,516,387 SF26.3%
Sublease1,226,976 SF5.8%

Submarket overview

SubmarketInventory (SF)BldgsQ2 net absorb.2026 YTD net absorb.Direct vac.Total vac.Total avail.Asking rent (NNN)Under constr.
Sorrento Mesa8,492,84016173,3464,72533.6%38.8%44.4%$5.00–$6.50
Sorrento Valley1,833,19768(1,373)16,60730.0%36.6%38.0%$4.25–$5.75
Torrey Pines6,203,2077541,694(5,592)10.3%12.2%22.2%$5.25–$6.50
UTC3,995,392355,97169918.6%18.6%18.0%$5.00–$5.85466,592
Core Cluster20,519,979338119,63816,43923.3%26.6%31.6%466,592
Source: CoStar. Net absorption in SF; parentheses indicate negative absorption.

Fundamentals

MetricValueForecast
Total vacancy26.6%
Class A avg direct ask rent$5.75
Class B avg direct ask rent$3.50
Sublease avg asking rent$3.50
Under construction466,592 SF

Market segmentation by space size

SizePropertiesAvail. spaces
< 1k SF436
1 – 5k SF3369
5 – 10k SF4871
10 – 20k SF69114
20 – 50k SF86176
50k+ SF37110
03What Changed This Quarter

Q2 2026 was the inflection quarter.

The first demand-driven vacancy decline of the cycle (+119,638 SF absorbed), on the first broad-based positive net absorption. Vacancy had risen in 14 of the prior 16 quarters.

Why this quarter is different

San Diego has recorded positive quarters during this downturn, but their composition matters. Late 2025's positive print reflected a single build-to-suit delivery that accounted for essentially the entire quarter. Excluding that transaction, the market was flat.

Q2's +119,638 SF is structurally different: it was produced by 16 leases distributed across the core cluster, with three of four submarkets posting positive absorption independently. Excluding the quarter's largest lease, absorption remains positive by more than 65,000 SF. Sixteen transactions across multiple submarkets reflect current demand, negotiated at current terms, from companies actively selecting San Diego lab space today.

Why the turn likely holds

Three conditions suggest Q2 represents a durable turn rather than an isolated quarter. First, supply is effectively capped — the Novartis Campus Point project is the only active construction, and no new space can deliver before 2027. Second, pricing is consistent with a market finding its floor: Class A asking rents held at $5.75 after 15 consecutive quarters of decline. Third, the capital cycle has restarted — venture funding reached $624.7M in Q2, while $3.2B+ in M&A exits is recycling capital toward founders who lease lab space within 12 to 24 months.

The composition test · Q4 2025
+466,521 SF
One delivery of 466,592 SF — market otherwise flat
The composition test · Q2 2026
+119,638 SF
16 leases — still +65,264 SF excluding the largest

Beneath the headline

MetricQ1 2026Q2 2026
Direct vacancy24.3%23.3%
Availability31.4%31.6%
Class A asking rent$5.75$5.75
Sublet availability1.18M SF1.23M SF

Submarket divergence

Torrey Pines
Tightening ▲
Fastest — vacancy 12.2%
Sorrento Mesa
Absorbing ▲
First of the cycle
Sorrento Valley
Softening ▼
Was Q1 bright spot
UTC
Steady —
Holding
The tenant takeaway

The turn has started, but concessions have not repriced yet. Landlords are still delivering turnkey buildouts and 2 to 3 months of free rent per lease year against a market that just posted its first demand-driven quarter of compression. That gap is your opportunity, and it narrows from here. If your lease expires before 2028, you are negotiating against today's 26.6% vacancy, not the tighter market that follows. The strongest positions will be secured before the repricing, not after it.

04Capital Markets

Capital is steady, but concentrating.

San Diego venture funding reached $624.7M across 10 rounds — nearly 79% of it in just three deals. Exits functioned, with $3.2B+ in disclosed M&A.

Growth and late-stage companies captured 69% of dollars, while seed rounds accounted for roughly 1%. The pattern is consistent across capital markets this quarter: capital is available for de-risked platforms with clear regulatory paths and scarce for everything earlier. Each exit recycles founder, employee, and investor capital into the ecosystem, funding the next vintage of companies — and those companies lease lab space on a 12 to 24 month lag.

SD life science venture funding by quarter

Q3 2423 deals
Q4 2414 deals
Q1 2514 deals
Q2 2524 deals
Q3 2516 deals
Q4 2524 deals
Q1 2615 deals
Q2 2610 deals
Amounts in $M. Source: Connect San Diego.

VC evidence — 10 deals · $624.7M

#CompanyAmountStage · Sector
1Campfield Therapeutics$180.0MSeries A · Drug Discovery
2Element Biosciences$175.0MGrowth · Therapeutics
3Sidewinder Therapeutics$137.0MGrowth · Therapeutics
4ClearNote Health$52.0MGrowth · Diagnostics
5VST Bio$31.9MGrowth · Therapeutics
6Iambic$27.8MGrowth · Drug Discovery
7Rejuvenate Bio$6.0MGrowth · Therapeutics
8Antlia Bioscience$6.0MSeries A · Therapeutics
9Channel Robotics$4.7MSeed · Med Device
10Acurion Health$4.3MSeed · HealthTech
By stage (Q2 2026): Growth/Late $429.7M · Series A $186.0M · Seed $9.0M. Top 3 rounds = $492M of $624.7M (79%).

M&A evidence — 9 deals · $3.2B+

TransactionValueStatusSector
UCB / Candid Therapeuticsup to $2.2BClosed Jun 17T-Cell Engagers
J&J / Atraverse MedicalUndisclosedClosed May 15Med Device
OrganaBio / ExcellosUndisclosedClosed MayCell-Therapy CDMO
Hanmi / Aptose Biosciences~$3.5M going-privateClosed Jun 30Oncology
Biogen / RayTheraup to $1.0BClosing expected Q3Immunology
Boundless Bio / Serapha$230M PIPEReverse merger · Q4Oncology
Rallybio / Avenzo$215M PIPEReverse merger · Q4Oncology
LEO Pharma / Replay$50M + milestonesClosing undisclosedGenomic Medicine
InSphero / PhenoVistaUndisclosedClosing undisclosedAssay Services
Sources: company announcements, SEC filings, and BioPharma Dive / FierceBiotech. Post-quarter (Jul 6): Vertex to acquire San Diego's Crinetics for ~$10B all-cash.
What this means for you

Today's exits are funding the tenants of 2027 and 2028. If you are raising, the bar is a de-risked story: capital is flowing to later-stage platforms, not broadly. If you have recently raised or exited, you are the demand wave this report describes — and your real estate decision should anticipate the market's turn rather than react to it.

05Leasing Activity

Q2 leasing was broad, and Sorrento Mesa led it.

Sixteen deals, eleven in Sorrento Mesa. Three genuine anchors drove the over-20k share; the rest was a healthy spread of mid-size and small-suite activity.

AddressSubmarketSign dateSF leasedTenantLease type
9955 Pacific Heights BlvdSorrento MesaJun 202654,374Quantum-SI IncDirect
9276 Scranton RdSorrento MesaJun 202626,024SarmalDirect
10201 Wateridge CirSorrento MesaApr 202623,272n-Lorem FoundationDirect
5601 Oberlin DrSorrento MesaMay 202611,634UndisclosedSublease
11494 Sorrento Valley RdSorrento ValleyApr 202610,790UndisclosedDirect
4930 Directors PlSorrento ValleyMay 202610,174UndisclosedDirect
9310 Athena CirTorrey PinesJun 20269,906Beyond TherapeuticsDirect
5825 Oberlin DrSorrento MesaApr 20268,775Interfacial ConsultantsDirect
6220 Greenwich DrUTCApr 20267,500Sanguine BiosciencesDirect
6048 Cornerstone Ct WSorrento MesaMay 20265,896UndisclosedDirect
10945 Vista Sorrento PkySorrento ValleyMay 20265,472UndisclosedDirect
6185 Cornerstone Ct ESorrento MesaJun 20262,277UndisclosedDirect
6185 Cornerstone Ct ESorrento MesaJun 20261,890UndisclosedDirect
6191 Cornerstone Ct ESorrento MesaJun 20261,830UndisclosedDirect
6195 Cornerstone Ct ESorrento MesaApr 20261,240UndisclosedDirect
6181 Cornerstone Ct ESorrento MesaMay 20261,220UndisclosedDirect
Sources: CoStar and Voit proprietary lease comparable database.
Q2 deals by size
Under 5k SF — 31.3%
5–10k SF — 31.3%
10–20k SF — 18.8%
Over 20k SF — 18.8%
16 deals · avg 11,393 SF · median 8,138 SF
Q2 leasing by submarket
Sorrento Mesa — 11 deals · 138,432 SF · 76%
Sorrento Valley — 3 deals · 26,436 SF · 15%
Torrey Pines — 1 deal · 9,906 SF · 5%
UTC — 1 deal · 7,500 SF · 4%
Recently represented by Voit
SeqOnce Biosciences — 3,992 SF · Sorrento Mesa
NAAG Forensic PC — 12,194 SF · Sorrento Mesa
Satomic — 12,149 SF · Sorrento Valley

Available projects

ProjectSize rangeAsking
Pacific Center13,000–174,000 SF$6.25 + OpEx
Vista Sorrento Labs8,933–115,761 SF$6.00 + OpEx
Directors Science Park10,174–83,944 SF$5.75 + OpEx
TechCenter@TheRidge4,955–18,924 SF$3.50 + OpEx
Cornerstone Research Ctr1,174–7,337 SF$3.15 + OpEx

Tenant opportunity snapshot

TI allowanceTurnkey buildout
Free rent2–3 mo / yr term
Market statusStrongly Tenant-Favorable

Recent Voit representation resulted in a concession package including a turnkey buildout, 85-month term, roughly 12 months of base rent abatement, and a 20% discount on the asking rate.

What this means for you

Current availability plus tenant-favorable concessions is the window, and it is open now. If you are weighing a move, an expansion, or a renewal, you are negotiating in a market that just turned but has not yet repriced. We have live comps and deal intelligence across all four submarkets, and we represent tenants in exactly these negotiations.

06The Founder Playbook

Structure the lease around your milestones, not the landlord's form.

The way to capture today's gap is not a standard 5-to-7-year lease — it is structuring the deal so the real estate works like non-dilutive financing.

1

The 18-Month Clean Break

A one-time termination right at month 18 or 24, matched to your funding cycle, so a missed raise does not trap you in space you cannot use. If you expect Series B capital 18 months after a regulatory milestone, set the break to land just after that date, so the option expires only once the risk has.

2

The Rip and Replace Expansion

Replace your current lease with a new one when you expand into adjacent space, resetting your concession package instead of stacking two leases with two expiration dates. This lets you re-open the entire concession conversation at the moment your leverage is highest.

3

The Rolling Security Deposit

A milestone-based burndown returning 25 to 50 percent of the deposit when you hit a funding raise or on-time payment milestones, freeing trapped cash. A $20M+ raise or 18 months of on-time payments are the standard triggers; the returned cash can also be applied toward expansion rent.

4

Letter of Credit Over Cash

An LC instead of a cash deposit, keeping venture dollars available for R&D while still giving the landlord the security they need. In a tight fundraising environment, months of trapped deposit cash is runway; an LC delivers the same landlord security at a fraction of the cash cost.

Where your leverage is strongest

Maximum leverage · window closing

Sorrento Mesa

Deepest concessions, but it just posted its first absorption of the cycle, so this window now has a clock. Push for the full package: turnkey buildout, stacked abatement, and termination rights. Landlords here are competing on total concession value.

Rising leverage

Sorrento Valley

Softened in Q2 after being the Q1 bright spot; landlord motivation is increasing quarter over quarter. Anchor negotiations to the submarket's softening, not last quarter's comps.

Moderate · institutional

UTC

Steady; for growth-stage tenants wanting institutional proximity. Concessions are more competitive here — trade term length for TI quality rather than chasing abatement.

Least leverage · tightest

Torrey Pines

Tightening fastest; for Series B-plus tenants with clinical or partnership validation who need UCSD and Scripps proximity. Leverage is thinnest — win on speed and credibility rather than price, and secure expansion rights early.

Match your stage to a submarket

Seed / Series A
Capture the deepest economics in Sorrento Mesa and Sorrento Valley.
Growth Stage
Balance cost and institutional proximity in UTC.
Series B Plus
With clinical or partnership validation, anchor in Torrey Pines near UCSD and Scripps.
The bottom line

Every one of these four structures is achievable in today's market, and none of them will be once concessions reprice. The leverage is real, but the repricing has started: the strongest deals of this cycle will be signed before it finishes. If your lease expires before 2028, that decision window is now.

07Market Signals

Where we are in the cycle.

The setup that was forming last quarter is now inflecting. Vacancy compressed for the first time this cycle on broad-based demand, supply is capped, and the capital cycle has restarted. San Diego has moved off the trough.

SD life science employment
61,866
Total jobs, down 2.55% in 2025 · 1,919 establishments
Q2 2026 VC funding
$624.7M
10 rounds · concentrated in late-stage
Q2 2026 M&A
$3.2B+
9 SD transactions
Avg life science wage
$203K
Among the highest of any U.S. cluster
Where we are in the cycle
PeakCorrectionTrough / OpportunityRecovery

San Diego has moved off the trough. Vacancy compressed for the first time this cycle on broad-based demand, supply is capped, and the capital cycle has restarted.

How we got here

2021 – 2022

Boom

Vacancy near 6%, rents peaking around $6.50.

2023 – 2024

Correction

Vacancy climbed past 14% as oversupply and a funding pullback took hold.

2025

Trough

Vacancy reached the mid-20s; absorption stayed negative.

Q2 2026

Inflection

First demand-driven vacancy decline of the cycle.

San Diego in context — top U.S. life science clusters (Q1 2026)

MarketTotal vacancyClass A asking rentNet absorptionUnder construction
San Diego (core cluster)26.6%$5.75(103,199) SF466,592 SF
Greater Boston27.9%$6.78(117,186) SF2.7M SF
SF Bay Area30.7%$5.60(455,000) SF0.9M SF
Q1 2026, the latest quarter published for all three markets. San Diego reflects the core cluster (Voit / CoStar); Boston and the Bay Area are market-wide (CBRE). San Diego's Q2 net absorption turned positive (+119,638 SF); Q2 figures for Boston and the Bay Area are not yet published.
Supply
New construction is effectively capped. The Novartis Campus Point project is the only active development, and nothing else can deliver before 2027.
Demand
Q2 delivered the first broad-based positive absorption of the cycle and the first demand-driven vacancy decline — led by Torrey Pines and Sorrento Mesa, not a single deal.
Capital
Venture funding held at $624.7M and $3.2B+ in M&A exits are recycling capital into the next vintage — demand converts to lab space on a 12 to 24 month lag.